Big money moves beyond individual candidates — spending plans, ad reservations, and where the parties are putting their dollars. Each item links to its source. Pro-Israel influence items always appear here, no matter which state you pick.
On watch since Tuesday, October 20, 2026PAC watch
Fight on IowaFEC #C00904482
Why it's watched: Hybrid PAC (reg. May 2025) in IA-Sen: $6,605,678 true outlay (support Ashley Hinson / oppose Josh Turek); +$658,930 new Oct 19 (TV via MHB Media + dual-purpose mail via Wildcatter Strategies). Joint fundraising arrangement with Hinson's campaign. $4M from dark-money nonprofit American Advancement Inc.; Ken Griffin $1.5M. October spending undisclosed until Post-General (Dec 3).
Associations: Treasurer Nancy Rennaker (RightSide Compliance, Austin TX). Joint fundraising with Ashley Hinson Victory Committee (~$304K Q3). Funders: American Advancement Inc. ($4M, dark-money 501c4), Ken Griffin ($1.5M), Marlene Ricketts ($50K), Common Sense Leadership Fund ($250K), A Public Voice Inc. ($115K).
Israel ties: $7K funding thread via RJC Victory Fund (earmarked Q2); no Israel ties documented as a driver of this committee.
See the Iowa Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: 2026-10-22 (partial; Post-General 2026-12-03)
On watch since Tuesday, October 20, 2026PAC watch
First Principles DigitalFEC #C00894428
Why it's watched: Lummis-linked pro-crypto hybrid PAC: $810,700 media buy supporting Mike Rogers in the MI-Sen primary (disseminated Jul 27, reported Jul 29) — its first large-scale buy. ~$493K cash on hand at 8/31, so more MI-Sen activity is possible before Nov 3. $600K of its funding came via the affiliated dark-money 501(c)(4) America First Digital.
Associations: Treasurer Kayla Glaze. Led by Jason Thielman (ex-NRSC) with Kristin Walker (Lummis's ex-chief of staff); FEC lists Lummis Victory Committee as affiliated. Disclosed donors: Tyler Winklevoss ~$497K, Cameron Winklevoss ~$496K, MoonPay $100K, America First Digital 501(c)(4) $600K (undisclosed c4 donors).
Israel ties: None documented.
See the Michigan Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: 2026-10-20 (October Monthly, due tonight)
On watch since Tuesday, October 20, 2026PAC watch
Forward UnitedFEC #C90023854
Why it's watched: Brand-new 527 filer (first and only FEC report filed Oct 19, 2026): $150,000 in digital advertising opposing Nadia Milleron (D) in MA-1, disseminated Oct 18 via Powers Interactive. As a 527 with no FEC committee registration, it discloses spending but has no scheduled donor report — funders may never be FEC-disclosed.
Associations: Treasurer Chris Keohan (MA Democratic operative; CK Strategies / Shawmut Strategies Group). Vendor: Powers Interactive. No 8871/8872 found as of Oct 20.
Israel ties: None documented.
See the Massachusetts District 1 race →
Donor disclosure due: none scheduled
On watch since Tuesday, October 20, 2026PAC watch
Black Voters Matter Action PACFEC #C00753277
Why it's watched: $300K two-sided blitz in FL-Sen in the final two weeks: $150K opposing Ashley Moody (R) + $150K supporting Angie Nixon (D), both ad placement via Technicolor Political, disseminated Oct 20. Cycle IEs ~$2M. FEC history: MUR 8012 (2020 late IE reporting, 3-3 deadlock); MUR 8353 ($16K civil penalty paid 7/2025).
Associations: Federal arm of the Black Voters Matter network (co-founders LaTosha Brown & Cliff Albright); treasurer Kamau Franklin (Community Movement Builders). Largest 2026 funder: Black Voters Matter Fund 501(c)(4) ($280K; its own donors IRS-8872-only). Vendors: Technicolor Political, Bryson Gillette.
Israel ties: None found — no pro-Israel organizational, donor, or leadership ties in FEC records or public sources.
See the Florida Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: 2026-10-22 (12-day Pre-General)
On watch since Tuesday, October 20, 2026PAC watch
J Street Action FundFEC #C00815753
Why it's watched: J Street's super PAC, record 2026 cycle: $3.38M raised through Sep 30 (vs $241K in all of 2024), including $2.25M from other committees; $2.05M contributed onward to other committees through Sep 30 — recipients to identify from the Pre-General report. Announced Oct 20 a $3M general-election campaign (largest in its history) against five AIPAC-endorsed GOP incumbents: Collins (GA-Sen; $470K already filed), Miller (OH-07), Van Orden (WI-03), Mackenzie (PA-07), Miller-Meeks (IA-01). Primary-season IEs backed Biss (IL-09), McMorrow (MI-Sen), Wahab (CA-14), Wiener (CA-11). Added at Sara's direction Oct 20 after the Action Fund report.
Associations: Super PAC arm of J Street (president Jeremy Ben-Ami; the $3M campaign was announced by Tali deGroot, VP of Political and Digital Strategy). Treasurer Cassie Tinsmon. Sister conduit PAC: JSTREETPAC (C00441949). Reported 2026 committee funding includes the Soros family's Democracy PAC / Democracy PAC II.
Israel ties: Pro-Israel organization — J Street describes itself as pro-Israel, pro-peace, pro-democracy and positions itself as a counterweight/rival to AIPAC, not an ally. No AIPAC-network funding documented; the documented 2026 committee funding is the Soros Democracy PAC network.
See the Georgia Senate race → See the Ohio District 7 race → See the Wisconsin District 3 race → See the Pennsylvania District 7 race → See the Iowa District 1 race →
Donor disclosure due: 2026-10-22 (12-day Pre-General)
On watch since Monday, October 19, 2026PAC watch
Buckeye Freedom PACFEC #C00963017
Why it's watched: New IE-only super PAC (registered Oct 2026, WI); first act was a $600,000 dual-purpose ad (true outlay; reported as two $600K FEC lines) attacking Jon Husted (R) and boosting Libertarian William Redpath in the tied OH-Sen race, disseminated Oct 17 via RFO Marketing Partners LLC. No F3X filed; donors undisclosed. Lean is Democratic-aligned (attack Husted from the right / boost the Libertarian); a spoiler-playbook case is under review. CORRECTED 10/20: Pre-General (12-day, 10/1–14, filed 10/15) lists $0 receipts / $0 disbursements — the $600K ad buy's funding is undisclosed until the Post-General (due Dec 3).
Associations: Treasurer Thomas Datwyler (AxCap Team compliance, Hudson WI). Website BuckeyeFreedomPAC.com; Meta ads attack Husted as a 'RINO'. Principals and funders hidden. Amended F1 (filed 10/18) moved address Hudson WI → Columbus OH and compliance email tcdatwyler@gmail.com → electgop4usa@gmail.com.
Israel ties: None documented.
See the Ohio Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, December 3, 2026
On watch since Monday, October 19, 2026PAC watch
Center for Democratic Priorities IncFEC #C90023847
Why it's watched: Dark-money 527; an estimated $5.7M in TV ads backing Haley Stevens in the MI Dem Senate primary (via Waterfront Strategies) with zero donor disclosure and no FEC/IRS registration paperwork as of June 2026 reporting. Resurfaced 10/19 with its first-ever FEC filing: $110,310 direct mail supporting Tom Suozzi (NY-3) via Mission Control Inc. Donors never disclosed; no donor report is scheduled (527s report only IEs to the FEC).
Associations: No treasurer of record on any FEC filing; only named officer anywhere is John Jones (name matches the treasurer of AIPAC-funded Blue Wave Action 2024 — same person not established). Suspected-but-denied AIPAC links: El-Sayed publicly alleged AIPAC funding; AIPAC denied; shared media buyer Waterfront Strategies with AIPAC's UDP. No money link documented.
Israel ties: Not confirmed. Circumstantial links documented: shared media buyer Waterfront Strategies with AIPAC's UDP; board officer's name matching the treasurer of the AIPAC-funded Blue Wave Action; El-Sayed's public allegation — AIPAC denied funding. No donor or money link documented.
See the New York District 3 race →
Donor disclosure due: none scheduled
On watch since Monday, October 19, 2026PAC watch
Protect Our Family Values ActionFEC #C00929257
Why it's watched: GOP super PAC (registered Dec 2025), treasurer Les Williamson (Strategic Victory Solutions; ex-NRSC/McConnell circles), operating from a Houston mailbox address. Dormant until 10/17, when it spent $100,035 via Del Cielo Media (Smart Media Group subsidiary) opposing Fred Wellman (D) in MO-2 (Likely-R race vs Rep. Ann Wagner). Had $23,905 cash on 9/30, so the October funding behind the buy is undisclosed until the Post-General (Dec 3); the Q3 $25K itemized donor is ROY PFAUTCH (St. Louis MO; $25,000 on 5/4/2026; employer Civic Service, Inc., occupation Consultant) — repeat small-dollar GOP donor, no larger network found.
Associations: Treasurer Les Williamson, 1305 W 11th St #217, Houston TX (mailbox address shared with other Williamson-treasurered committees: Association of Texas Conservatives, Old North Action). Vendor: Del Cielo Media.
Israel ties: None documented.
See the Missouri District 2 race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, December 3, 2026
On watch since Monday, October 19, 2026PAC watch
Retire Career PoliticiansFEC #C00876482
Why it's watched: Democratic-aligned hybrid PAC (reg. Apr 2024), treasurer Christopher Koob (MBA Consulting Group; ex-DSCC/DNC). ~$1,566,171 in anti-incumbent IEs (was $1,392,180): oppose Mike Flood (NE-1), Pete Ricketts (NE-Sen), Mike Rounds (SD-Sen); support Chris Backemeyer (NE-1). New Oct 18 F24: $173,991 anti-Rounds TV+digital (Viewpoint Media LLC), its second identical anti-Rounds buy this month. Largest disclosed funder: Way Back PAC $200K (itself funded by the undisclosed Western Futures Fund 501c4 + Toolbox). ~$1M behind the current ad blitz undisclosed; the October Monthly (due Oct 20) had not been filed as of ~7:25 PM ET. FEC RFAI (Oct 14): the $200K Way Back PAC and $60.5K Fight for Nebraska PAC August donations are apparently excessive and must be moved to the non-contribution account; no response filed.
Associations: Treasurer Christopher Koob; assistant treasurer Steven Mele. Funders: Way Back PAC ($200K, 8/26), Fight for Nebraska PAC ($60.5K in-kind polling, 8/19). Vendors: Long-Range Media Strategies, PAC Services LLC, Canal Partners Media, Viewpoint Media LLC, Sunny Day Strategies.
Israel ties: None documented.
See the Nebraska District 1 race → See the Nebraska Senate race → See the South Dakota Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: Tuesday, October 20, 2026
On watch since Sunday, October 18, 2026PAC watch
Commonwealth Action PACFEC #C00928150
Why it's watched: Hybrid PAC; Oct 12 dual-purpose ad buy in VA-01 (support Rob Wittman / oppose Shannon Taylor, $215,385 true outlay via Ascent Media). Q3 report (filed Oct 14) names one donor — Thomas E. Gaynor (DLA Piper partner), $25,000 on Sep 9 — with $90,886 cash on hand at Sep 30; the October buy's remaining funding is undisclosed.
Associations: Treasurer Frank Burford. Vendors: Crosby Ottenhoff Group (compliance), Dickinson Wright (legal), Ascent Media (ad buy).
Israel ties: None documented.
See the Virginia District 1 race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, October 22, 2026
On watch since Saturday, October 17, 2026PAC watch
Building the FutureFEC #C00960328
Why it's watched: New GOP super PAC (registered Aug 30, 2026); cycle independent expenditures TRIPLED to $1,296,413.89 supporting appointed Sen. Darline Graham (R) in SC-Sen — new Oct 16 F24 ($407,500 text/messaging/media) and Oct 17 F24 ($888,913.89 media placement), both via Prusik Partners LLC. Q3 F3X (filed Oct 15, 8/30-9/30) listed zero receipts and zero disbursements: donors fully hidden.
Associations: Treasurer of record on FEC filings: Britney Gonzalez (Reno, NV). Earlier association note: GOP firm Crosby Ottenhoff (not on the filings themselves). Vendor Prusik Partners LLC was tied by reporting to the a16z/OpenAI-backed Leading the Future AI network — a shared vendor does not mean a shared funder.
Israel ties: None documented.
See the South Carolina Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, October 22, 2026
On watch since Saturday, October 17, 2026PAC watch
Honest Choice MaineFEC #C00962472
Why it's watched: New GOP super PAC (registered Sep 28, 2026); $232K in ME-Sen — $195K opposing Troy Jackson (D), $38K supporting Susan Collins (R), disseminated Oct 14. Donors undisclosed.
Associations: Compliance: Crosby Ottenhoff (GOP firm); Bryant Bank account infrastructure tied by investigators to a documented sham-PAC network. Spending ran via Relay Media Group. No principal or funder identified yet.
Israel ties: None documented.
See the Maine Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, October 22, 2026
On watch since Saturday, October 17, 2026PAC watch
Wilderness Action, Inc.FEC #C00961045
Why it's watched: New environmental super PAC (registered Sep 8, 2026); NO F3X of any kind has ever been filed — donors fully hidden (CORRECTED 10/19: the 'October Monthly listed zero itemized receipts' note was wrong; no such filing exists). F24 aggregates: ~$165K opposing Rep. Pete Stauber (R) in MN-8 (calendar YTD $164,692.23 per amended Oct 19 F24; new vendor Blue State), ~$160K supporting Amish Shah (AZ-1), ~$130K supporting Gabriel Vasquez (NM-2) (CORRECTED 10/19: the '$359K in MN-8' figure did not reconcile with the F24s). Filed an F99 Oct 7 switching to monthly filing; the October Monthly (due Oct 20) is its first-ever donor report if filed — not yet filed as of ~7:25 PM ET Oct 20.
Associations: Treasurer David Seabrook; 1801 Pennsylvania Ave NW, Washington DC. Filings disclose in-kind contributions 'from The Wilderness Society C4' (website design).
Israel ties: None documented.
See the Minnesota District 8 race → See the Arizona District 1 race → See the New Mexico District 2 race →
Donor disclosure due: Tuesday, October 20, 2026
On watch since Friday, October 16, 2026PAC watch
Serious About Safety PACFEC #C00960500
Why it's watched: New hybrid PAC (registered Sep 1, 2026); $181,500 in independent expenditures supporting Abdul El-Sayed (D) in MI-Sen, disseminated Oct 13. Its October Monthly listed zero itemized receipts, so funders are hidden.
Associations: Treasurer John Roberson (Acuity Politics compliance). Spending ran via Democratic media firm Conexion Political.
Israel ties: None documented. Context: AIPAC's UDP spent $20.3M opposing El-Sayed in this same race — a separate operation.
See the Michigan Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: Friday, November 20, 2026
On watch since Thursday, October 15, 2026PAC watch
Hoosier State Values PACFEC #C00962779
Why it's watched: New hybrid PAC (registered Oct 1, 2026); $168K in independent expenditures in IN-5 — $139K in digital ads opposing Victoria Spartz (R), $29K in direct mail supporting J.D. Ford (D). No donor disclosure yet.
Associations: Treasurer Andrew Madras — Democratic compliance professional (Rising Blue Consulting; previously American Bridge 21st Century). The committee appears in ActBlue's independent-expenditure directory. Spending ran through DC mail vendor Pinwheel Productions.
Israel ties: None documented.
See the Indiana District 5 race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, October 22, 2026
Wednesday, October 21, 2026Election news
IDF detains NY-10 nominee Brad Lander during West Bank olive harvest, 13 days before Election Day
Brad Lander, the Democratic nominee in NY-10 and a former NYC comptroller, was among about 90 rabbis and volunteers detained by Israeli forces on Oct 21 while accompanying Palestinian farmers to the olive harvest near Bethlehem with Rabbis for Human Rights, according to Reuters. Lander posted from a bus: “The occupation is a crime under international law. Harvesting olives isn’t a crime under any law I know.” He was released later the same day — by his account, with a warning, because of his public profile; the IDF said he was released once the matter was brought to its attention — the only detainee freed, while several dozen others remained in custody and no US Embassy or State Department comment had been reported. It is Lander’s second detention in 16 months: ICE agents arrested him at Manhattan immigration court in June 2025 while he escorted a defendant; he was released hours later and never charged. Election Day is Nov 3 and NY early voting opens Oct 24. PoliVion’s analysis: polivion.com/brad-lander-detained/
Source: Reuters →Tuesday, October 20, 2026AIPAC / UDP
UDP's $55M war chest still sitting; J Street, DMFI, and anti-AIPAC groups place new general-election bets
AIPAC's super PAC entered September with $54.9 million in cash on hand but has disclosed only about $284,000 in general-election spending — mailers attacking Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan's Senate race — with its September monthly report due today and a pre-general report due Oct. 22. Meanwhile, the anti-AIPAC super PAC American Priorities spent $300,000 in October in Ohio's 15th District (backing Don Leonard, attacking incumbent Mike Carey) and $275,000 in Michigan's Senate race. J Street's super PAC reported $470,000 in digital ads against Mike Collins in Georgia's Senate race and on Oct. 20 announced new ads targeting AIPAC-endorsed Reps. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (IA-1) and Ryan Mackenzie (PA-7), while DMFI PAC spent $900,000 in late September backing Elaine Luria against Jen Kiggans in VA-2.
Source: Inside Political Money →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Trump says he'll spend $400 million to boost Republicans in the midterms
President Trump posted on Truth Social on Oct. 20 that he has spent or will spend more than $400 million on advertising, voter contact, rallies, and other campaign activity to help Republicans keep the House and Senate — a figure not independently verified. The money runs through his aligned super PAC MAGA Inc., which reported $424 million in the bank through August. The pledge came as the AP reported Republicans have spent or reserved about $2.2 billion in political advertising since Sept. 1 versus $1.8 billion for Democrats, with outside groups spending over $1.2 billion in competitive congressional races, per a Washington Post analysis of AdImpact data.
Source: USA Today →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Bloomberg spends $80 million in September and October backing Democrats
Former New York mayor Mike Bloomberg spent $80 million in September and October to help Democrats in the midterms, the New York Times reported Oct. 20 citing his team — making him one of the five largest individual Democratic donors of the cycle, per a CNBC analysis of FEC filings. At least $50 million is aimed at House races, including $16 million to House Majority PAC and $24 million to Everytown for Gun Safety; other disclosed allocations include $11 million for a super PAC backing Micah Lasher in NY-12, $5 million for a League of Conservation Voters super PAC, $2.5 million for James Talarico in the Texas Senate race, and $2.5 million for Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro's re-election.
Source: New York Post →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Crypto billionaire's solar super PAC puts $250K more behind rewritten attack ad on Constantino in NY-21
The Invest in Tomorrow Coalition PAC, funded mainly by Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen ($6 million of the roughly $6.89 million it raised through August), reported spending $1 million opposing Trump-endorsed Anthony Constantino in New York's 21st District, per an FEC filing received Oct. 17. After Constantino's lawyers threatened a defamation lawsuit over a false 'Kill the Police' claim in the ad, the PAC suspended the TV buy and pulled the ad from the internet on Oct. 17 — then on Oct. 20 put $250,000 more behind a rewritten version with the claim removed.
Source: Daily Caller News Foundation →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Think Big puts another $147K into NY-25 for Morelle as its AI-network backers wobble
Think Big, the Democratic-facing arm of the Leading the Future / American Mission AI super-PAC network (treasurer: ex-Schumer aide Josh Vlasto), filed a 24-hour report on Oct 19 for $146,828 in mail and TV supporting Rep. Joseph Morelle in NY-25 via vendor Lantern Production Consultants. The network tie hardened this week: an Oct 19 read of the filings shows Leading the Future sent $22.5M each to Think Big and American Mission, while venture capitalist Ronald Conway now regrets his funding, Meta pulled back $25M of a pledged $65M, and Greg Brockman reportedly canceled a planned $25M donation. Think Big's October Monthly donor report, due tonight, had not been filed as of this evening.
Source: FEC 24-hour IE report (filed 10/19/2026); FourWeekMBA →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Lummis-linked crypto super PAC spent $810K backing Mike Rogers in the Michigan Senate primary
First Principles Digital, a Republican pro-crypto super PAC launched in 2025 by ex-NRSC chief Jason Thielman with Sen. Cynthia Lummis's former chief of staff Kristin Walker involved, reported an $810,700 media buy supporting Mike Rogers (disseminated July 27, reported July 29) — its largest spend ever and its first big Michigan Senate play. Its disclosed donors include Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss (~$987,000 combined), MoonPay ($100,000), and $600,000 from the affiliated dark-money 501(c)(4) America First Digital, whose own donors are undisclosed. The PAC still held about $493,000 in cash at the end of August, so more MI-Sen activity is possible before Nov 3.
Source: FEC filings; Crypto Influence Watch →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
$658,930 more pro-Hinson outside money hits Iowa Senate: dark-money-funded PAC's true outlay tops $6.6M
Fight on Iowa, a hybrid PAC in a joint fundraising arrangement with Ashley Hinson's campaign, placed two new buys since Oct 19: a $630,180 TV/media placement opposing Josh Turek and a $28,750 dual-purpose mailer attacking Turek and boosting Hinson. Its cycle total is $6,605,678 in true outlay after collapsing dual-purpose ad pairs — and $4 million of its funding traces to the dark-money nonprofit American Advancement Inc., which does not disclose its donors. The roughly $1 million it raised in September stays hidden until its October Monthly donor report, due tonight.
Source: Des Moines Register →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
New $300,000 pro-Collins text-message buy lands in Georgia Senate from a previously dormant super PAC
Delivering for America PAC, an Athens, Georgia super PAC that registered in July 2025 but had never made an independent expenditure, reported a $300,000 text-message buy supporting Mike Collins (R), disseminated Oct 18. Its disclosed backers include Trump megadonor Ronald Cameron ($100,000), Collins's own campaign finance chair Ben Tarbutton ($50,000), and the dark-money nonprofit A Public Voice, Inc. ($80,000). The buy landed as Senate Majority PAC pulled its Georgia ads and polling showed Collins trailing Jon Ossoff.
Source: FEC committee record (filings) →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Defense-tech money floods rare Republican-vs-Republican House race: $6.3M super PAC hits Young Kim, backs Ken Calvert in CA-40
Americans 4 Security PAC, a Wisconsin super PAC whose biggest disclosed funders include Palantir's CEO Alex Karp ($525,000) and CTO Shyam Sankar ($250,000) plus $2.1 million from its own dark-money 501(c)(4), has now spent $6.3 million this cycle — $5.6 million opposing Rep. Young Kim and $252,000 supporting Rep. Ken Calvert in California's 40th, where redistricting threw the two Republican incumbents into the same district. The PAC added another $300,000 in anti-Kim media on Oct 20. It is under a CREW FEC/IRS complaint alleging its nonprofit arm hides its donors; see the full picture in the spoiler playbook.
Source: FEC filings; CREW →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Black Voters Matter Action PAC puts $300K into Florida's Senate race in final two weeks
The Atlanta-based super PAC reported $150,000 opposing Republican Sen. Ashley Moody and $150,000 supporting Democratic nominee Angie Nixon — both for ad placement by Technicolor Political, with the ads disseminated Oct 20. The PAC is the federal arm of the Black Voters Matter network founded by LaTosha Brown and Cliff Albright; its treasurer is Atlanta organizer Kamau Franklin. Its largest funder this cycle is its own 501(c)(4), Black Voters Matter Fund, which gave $280,000; its latest donor report (October Quarterly, amended) was filed Oct 19, with the pre-general report due Oct 22.
Source: FEC →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Brand-new dark 527 drops $150K in digital ads against Nadia Milleron in MA-1
Forward United, a 527 organization that filed its first and only FEC report on Oct 19, reported $150,000 in digital advertising opposing Nadia Milleron (D) in Massachusetts's 1st District, placed Oct 18 via the vendor Powers Interactive. The only named human on record is treasurer Chris Keohan, a Massachusetts Democratic operative (CK Strategies / Shawmut Strategies Group). As a 527 with no FEC committee registration, it discloses spending but has no scheduled donor report — its funders may never be FEC-disclosed.
Source: FEC 24-hour IE report (filed 10/19/2026) →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Retire Career Politicians drops another $174K against Rounds in SD-Sen — cycle spending now $1.57M
The Democratic-aligned hybrid PAC filed a new 24-hour report on Oct 18 for $173,991 in TV and digital ads opposing Sen. Mike Rounds — its second identical anti-Rounds buy this month, pushing cycle independent expenditures to about $1.57 million. The roughly $1 million behind its September ad blitz is still undisclosed: the October Monthly donor report, due tonight, had not been filed as of this evening. Separately, the FEC flagged the committee's $200,000 and $60,500 August donations on Oct 14 as apparently exceeding contribution limits and asked it to move them to its non-contribution account.
Source: FEC Form 24/48 (filed 10/18/2026) →Monday, October 19, 2026Election news
GOP ad blitz is a Senate-only game: $947M vs $625M in Senate toss-ups, only a $14M edge in House toss-ups
AdImpact data tallied by the New York Times shows Republicans outspending Democrats $947 million to $625 million on advertising (aired plus future reservations) across the seven Senate races Cook rates toss-ups — a $320M+ GOP advantage — while the House gap is just $14M across the 21 House toss-ups. Elon Musk's nearly $170M to super PACs backing Ken Paxton in Texas is a major driver. Democratic candidates are outraising GOP opponents in many battlegrounds, but the Republican edge is built on outside super PAC cash.
Source: Political Wire (reporting the New York Times) →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Brand-new super PAC spends $600K in Ohio's Senate race attacking Husted, boosting Libertarian Redpath
A Wisconsin-based super PAC that registered this month, Buckeye Freedom PAC, placed a $600,000 dual-purpose ad buy in Ohio's tied Senate race — the ads attack Republican Jon Husted as a "RINO" while urging votes for Libertarian William Redpath, disseminated Oct 17. The buy was reported to the FEC as two $600K lines (oppose Husted / support Redpath); it is a single ad with a $600K true outlay. The PAC has filed no donor report; its only named principal is compliance treasurer Thomas Datwyler.
Source: Semblen ad tracker →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Corporate-lobbyist super PAC adds ~$2M for centrist Democrats across six races
Center Forward Committee, the Democratic arm of the Center Forward dark-money network run by corporate lobbyists (funded by Chevron, PhRMA, PG&E, BIO, and the Business Roundtable, per OpenSecrets and Sludge reporting), added roughly $2.09M in new independent expenditures: backing Don Davis (NC-1), Mike Thompson (CA-4), Angie Craig (MN-2), Haley Stevens (MI-Sen), Susie Lee (NV-3), and Vicente Gonzalez (TX-34), and opposing Mike Bouchard (MI-10). Donors are disclosed through Aug 31; September receipts — the money behind this burst — are due in the October Monthly report on Oct 20.
Source: FEC (network reporting: OpenSecrets) →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Center Forward's GOP arm adds $445K for moderate Republicans in six House races
Center Forward Initiative, the Republican-leaning twin of the Center Forward Committee (same McLean VA address, same dark-money nonprofit funder), added $445,356 in independent expenditures supporting moderate Republicans Mike Lawler (NY-17), Bryan Steil (WI-1), Mariannette Miller-Meeks (IA-1), Greg Murphy (NC-3), David Valadao (CA-22), and Blake Moore (UT-2) via direct mail and digital ads. Its donors are disclosed through Aug 31 — including $675K from the Center Forward nonprofit and $225K from the American Society of Anesthesiologists PAC — with September receipts due Oct 20.
Source: FEC →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Anti-incumbent PAC adds $174K attacking Flood, Ricketts, Rounds; ~$1M of its September money still hidden
Retire Career Politicians, a Democratic-aligned hybrid PAC run by compliance pro Christopher Koob (MBA Consulting Group; ex-DSCC/DNC), added $173,991 in new independent expenditures opposing Mike Flood (NE-1), Pete Ricketts (NE-Sen), and Mike Rounds (SD-Sen), while backing Democrat Chris Backemeyer (NE-1). Its disclosed funding runs through other PACs — mainly $200K from Way Back PAC — but roughly $1M behind the current ad blitz is undisclosed until the October Monthly report due Oct 20; the PAC's September report also drew an FEC information request on Oct 14.
Source: FEC →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
New Democratic super PAC runs $382.5K of dual-purpose ads across IA, OH, GA Senate races
Project Bullhorn PAC, a San Francisco-based Democratic super PAC registered in April 2026 ($1.5M raised; treasurer Laurie Van Hall of Bee Compliance, ex-Buttigieg 2020 finance operations), ran $382,500 in true-outlay comparative ads — reported as three dual-purpose pairs totaling $765K — for Josh Turek (IA-Sen), Sherrod Brown (OH-Sen), and Jon Ossoff (GA-Sen), against Ashley Hinson, Jon Husted, and Mike Collins. Its donors are disclosed in its Q3 FEC report.
Source: FEC →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Democratic super PAC adds $192K in House-race ads across FL, AZ, NY; donors disclosed
American Democracy Project, a DC-based Democratic super PAC run by veteran compliance operator Victoria Perrone (treasurer for Fetterman 2022 and Mamdani 2025), added $191,812 in new independent expenditures: opposing Republicans Sydney Gruters (FL-16), Thomas Feely (AZ-1), Mike Lawler (NY-17), and Anthony Constantino (NY-21), and supporting Democrats Tom Suozzi (NY-3) and Blake Gendebien (NY-21). Its Q3 FEC report disclosed $638.5K raised ($338.5K from individuals, $300K from another committee).
Source: FEC →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Dark-money 527 behind ~$5.5M of pro-Stevens ads resurfaces with $110K mail for Suozzi in NY-3
The Center for Democratic Priorities, a secretive 527 that spent an estimated $5.7M on TV ads boosting Haley Stevens in Michigan's Democratic Senate primary without ever disclosing a donor or registering with the FEC or IRS, has resurfaced in the general election: its first-ever FEC filing reports $110,310 in direct mail supporting Tom Suozzi (NY-3). Abdul El-Sayed publicly alleged the group was funded by AIPAC; AIPAC denied it, and no outlet has documented who funds the group.
Source: InfluenceWatch →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Texas GOP super PAC's first buy: $100K against Wellman in MO-2, funded by undisclosed October money
Protect Our Family Values Action, a Republican super PAC registered in December 2025 and run by GOP operative Les Williamson (Strategic Victory Solutions; ex-NRSC/McConnell circles) out of a Houston mailbox address, sat nearly dormant until Oct 17, when it spent $100,035 on media attacking Democrat Fred Wellman in Missouri's competitive 2nd District via Del Cielo Media. It had only $23,905 cash on hand at Sep 30, so the October money behind the buy is undisclosed until the Post-General report due Dec 3.
Source: FEC →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Valor Project's donors disclosed: Perlmutter $100K and Trulieve $25K funded pro-Mast ads in FL-21
Valor Project, the super PAC behind $191,920 in October media buys supporting Brian Mast (R) in FL-21, has its 2026 donors fully disclosed in filed monthly FEC reports: Isaac Perlmutter, the Israeli-American billionaire and former Marvel chairman, gave $100,000 in April; Florida cannabis company Trulieve Holdings gave $25,000 in August; SG Manager LLC (attributed to partner Michael Swerdlow) gave $10,000 in June. No pro-Israel network link to the committee's activity is documented.
Source: FEC →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Pro-Graham super PAC triples spending to $1.3M in SC-Sen — donors still hidden
Building the Future, the GOP super PAC backing appointed Sen. Darline Graham in South Carolina, added an $888,914 media buy on Oct 17, bringing its cycle independent expenditures to about $1,296,414 — triple the $407,500 previously recorded. Its quarterly FEC report covering August–September listed zero receipts and zero disbursements, so no donor has been disclosed. Its first real donor report, the Pre-General, is due Oct 22.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
New super PAC 'Valor Project' spends $192K backing Brian Mast in FL-21
Valor Project (C00735894), an Athens, Georgia-based super PAC with treasurer Paul Kilgore, reported $191,920 in media buys supporting Rep. Brian Mast (R) in Florida's 21st District, disseminated Oct 16 through vendor Arena LLC — its first independent expenditures in the 2026 cycle. It files monthly, so its donors will not be disclosed until the October Monthly report due around Nov 20. Its FEC committee record lists no connected organization.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
American Medical Association PAC spends $300K backing Ralph Alvarado in KY-6
The American Medical Association's connected PAC (C00000422) reported a $300,000 media buy supporting Republican Ralph Alvarado in Kentucky's 6th District, disseminated Oct 16 — its largest 2026 independent expenditure to date. Earlier this cycle it spent $150,139 backing Richard Pan in CA-6 and $150,024 backing Tina Shah in NJ-7 during the primaries. The PAC discloses its donors through regular FEC filings and has historically split its independent spending between the parties.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
Labor group Working America pours $1.7M into Senate races in final weeks
Working America (C90011156), the AFL-CIO's community affiliate, reported about $1.66 million in new independent expenditures Oct 15–17: $500,250 supporting Sherrod Brown and $450,750 opposing Jon Husted in Ohio's Senate race; $307,206 opposing Mike Rogers and $182,206 supporting Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan; $125,250 opposing Ashley Hinson and $120,500 supporting Josh Turek in Iowa — plus smaller buys in Georgia and Minnesota. Its 2026 cycle total is about $2.2 million.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
SEIU-backed 'Health Care Saves Lives' hits $3.3M targeting California House Republicans
The Sacramento-based super PAC Health Care Saves Lives (C00888081) has reported $3.26 million in 2026 independent expenditures, including October buys opposing Reps. David Valadao (CA-22, $628,060), Kevin Kiley (CA-6, $447,119) and Jim Desmond (CA-48, $426,678), while backing Democrats Aisha Wahab, Marni von Wilpert, Richard Pan and Randy Villegas. Its October Quarterly, filed Oct 15, shows the operation is SEIU-backed: $223,931 in in-kind phone banking and staff time from SEIU Local 2015 plus staff-time support from the SEIU California State Council.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
Cassidy-linked super PAC's $658K against Letlow documented in FEC filings
FEC bulk data documents $658,153 in independent expenditures by the Louisiana Freedom Fund (C00906263) opposing Julia Letlow in Louisiana's Senate race — spending disseminated in April and May during the GOP primary, when the super PAC was backing then-Sen. Bill Cassidy. The committee's FEC record lists the Cassidy Leadership Fund as its connected organization. It filed a termination report on Oct 15, after the Trump-backed Letlow defeated Cassidy for the nomination.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
Single-donor super PAC 'Panhandle Patriots' spends $1M backing Austin Rogers in FL-2
Panhandle Patriots PAC (C00939124), a Mountain Brook, Alabama-based super PAC, has reported $1,016,210 in 2026 independent expenditures: $820,210 supporting Republican Austin Rogers in Florida's open 2nd District, plus $196,000 opposing his primary rival Keith Gross in July. Its October Quarterly, filed Oct 15, shows a single funder: Joseph Daou of Clearwater, Florida (Savis Inc.), who has given $1,612,500 this cycle.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
SEIU's PAC spreads nearly $2M across House and Senate battlegrounds
SEIU COPE (C00004036), the Service Employees International Union's political action committee, has reported $1.97 million in 2026 independent expenditures, with October buys including $305,125 opposing Nick Begich in Alaska's at-large race, $235,000 backing Joanna Mendoza in AZ-6, $216,384 backing Bob Brooks in PA-7, $161,375 opposing Rob Bresnahan and $88,750 backing Paige Cognetti in PA-8, $81,484 backing Rebecca Cooke in WI-3, and $80,125 opposing Juan Ciscomani in AZ-6.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
'Mainstream Colorado Fund' tops $1.1M in CO-8 battle
The Mainstream Colorado Fund (C00885707) has reported $1,178,043 in 2026 independent expenditures in Colorado's 8th District: $797,146 opposing Republican Gabe Evans and $380,896 supporting Democrat Manny Rutinel, including $144,750 disseminated Oct 9. Its October Quarterly was filed Oct 15.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
'Building the Future' super PAC spending for Darline Graham triples to $1.3M
The GOP super PAC Building the Future (C00960328) reported another $888,914 in independent expenditures supporting Sen. Darline Graham (R) in South Carolina's Senate race Oct 16–17, bringing its 2026 cycle total to $1,296,414. Its donors remain undisclosed; its pre-election report is due Oct 22.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
'Enough Promises Ohio' adds $484K more boosting socialist spoiler in OH-Sen
Enough Promises Ohio (C00962563) reported two more dual-purpose ad buys in Ohio's Senate race Oct 15–16 — each filed as paired lines supporting socialist Gregory Levy and opposing Sherrod Brown ($376,500 on Oct 16 via Outbound Messaging LLC; $107,830 on Oct 15 via Seven Farms), a true combined outlay of about $484,330. Its cycle true-outlay total is about $1.1 million. The PAC is the subject of PoliVion's spoiler-playbook Case 1.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
Commonwealth Action PAC names one Q3 donor; its October ad buy's funding still undisclosed
Commonwealth Action PAC's October Quarterly, filed Oct 14, discloses one third-quarter donor: DLA Piper partner Thomas E. Gaynor of McLean, VA, who gave $25,000 on Sep 9. The filing shows $90,886 cash on hand at Sep 30 — but the PAC's Oct 12 ad buy in VA-01, a dual-purpose ad supporting Rob Wittman and opposing Shannon Taylor reported as two $215,385 lines ($215,385 true outlay), cost more than that cash position, so additional October contributions funded the rest. Those donors won't be disclosed until the PAC's pre-election report, due Oct 22.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
Crypto PACs escalate in Ohio: Fairshake affiliate spending hits $46.6M against Brown as Ohio Senate becomes costliest race
Per FEC filings released Oct 15, the Fairshake affiliate Defend American Jobs has spent $46.6 million on media opposing Sherrod Brown and supporting Jon Husted in the Ohio Senate race — more than 50% above the $30 million Fairshake announced in September it planned to spend against Brown. The Winklevoss twins' Digital Freedom Fund added about $3 million in ad spending this week, bringing its Ohio total above $5.9 million. The Ohio Senate race now carries $422.6 million in past and future ad reservations, making it the most expensive Senate contest of the cycle.
Source: Cointelegraph →Sunday, October 18, 2026Party committees
DCCC launches bilingual six-figure ad blitz in FL-22 targeting Hispanic voters
The DCCC launched bilingual ads in Florida's 22nd District backing Democrat Pia Dandiya and attacking Republican Casey Askar's business record — a deliberate push to win back Hispanic voters, who make up nearly a third of the district's voting-age population. The 30-second spots, titled 'Chances,' run in English and Spanish on YouTube and streaming platforms.
Source: TC Sentinel (via Florida Politics) →Saturday, October 17, 2026Outside spending
New GOP super PAC 'Building the Future' spends $407,500 backing Darline Graham in SC Senate
The super PAC (registered Aug 30) filed a $407,500 general-election independent expenditure supporting appointed Sen. Darline Graham (R), disseminated Oct 15, for text messaging and media via Prusik Partners LLC. Its compliance email is the GOP firm Crosby Ottenhoff, and Prusik is one of the obscure Nevada LLCs tied by reporting to the a16z/OpenAI-backed Leading the Future AI network; shared vendor does not mean shared funder. Donors are undisclosed — the first donor report is due in the pre-general filing around Oct 22.
Source: FEC filing (F24) →Saturday, October 17, 2026Outside spending
New Maine super PAC 'Honest Choice Maine' spends $232K in the Senate race: $195K against Troy Jackson
The super PAC (registered Sep 28) spent $194,582 opposing Troy Jackson (D) and $37,511 supporting Susan Collins (R) in Maine's Senate race, both disseminated Oct 14, via Relay Media Group. It uses the same GOP compliance shop (Crosby Ottenhoff) and Bryant Bank account infrastructure that investigators tied to a documented sham-PAC network; no principal or funder is identified yet. Donors are undisclosed until the pre-general filing around Oct 22.
Source: FEC filing (F1) →Saturday, October 17, 2026Outside spending
Environmental super PAC 'Wilderness Action' drops $123K in TV ads against Stauber (MN-8) over Boundary Waters mining fight
The new super PAC (registered Sep 8) filed $122,802 in general-election independent expenditures opposing Rep. Pete Stauber (R), disseminated Oct 15 — TV ads plus mobile billboards attacking his record on the Boundary Waters mining fight. It sits in The Wilderness Society's orbit (in-kind website support). Its first donor disclosure is not due until Nov 20, after Election Day.
Source: FEC filing (F1) / wildernessactionusa.org →Saturday, October 17, 2026Outside spending
Labor super PAC 'One PAC' spends $206K in TV attacking independent Nadia Milleron (MA-1)
One PAC filed $206,000 in general-election independent expenditures opposing Nadia Milleron, the independent challenging in MA-1 (TV and production via Targeted Platform Media, disseminated Oct 12 and Oct 17); it had earlier spent $77,931 supporting Rep. Stephen Lynch (D) in the MA-8 primary. Its October Quarterly discloses $135,000 in union and union-affiliated donors.
Source: FEC filing (October Quarterly) →Saturday, October 17, 2026Outside spending
Youth group super PAC 'Alliance for Youth Power' spends $211K backing El-Sayed (MI-Sen)
The electoral arm of Alliance for Youth Action filed $210,500 supporting Abdul El-Sayed (D) in Michigan's Senate race plus $7,500 supporting Rebecca Cooke (D) in WI-3, both disseminated Oct 16 (digital advertising via AfG Partners). Donors are disclosed: its October Quarterly shows $450,000 from the Children's Equity Fund (the Bainum Family Foundation's 501(c)(4)) plus $150,000 from SEIU and NEA affiliates.
Source: FEC filing (October Quarterly) →Saturday, October 17, 2026Outside spending
Crypto PACs pour $52M into Ohio Senate race against Sherrod Brown
FEC filings Thursday show the Fairshake affiliate Defend American Jobs spent $46.6 million opposing former Sen. Sherrod Brown and backing Sen. Jon Husted in OH-Sen — a sharp jump from the $30M Fairshake said it planned to spend in September. Separately, the Winklevoss twins' new Digital Freedom Fund reported about $3M in ad spending this week opposing Brown and supporting Husted, bringing its total above $5.9M. (Sourcing: single-outlet Cointelegraph report on the filings; figures not independently pulled.)
Source: Cointelegraph →Saturday, October 17, 2026Outside spending
DraftKings- and FanDuel-backed super PACs resume midterm ad spending
Super PACs bankrolled by DraftKings, FanDuel, Fanatics and Bet365 (about $100M from the betting companies over the past year) resumed political advertising ahead of Nov 3, per a Sportico report. American Future PAC began buying digital ads on Meta and Google on Oct 6 (at least $30K across 10 ads targeting state races in AL, IL, GA and MD); operators gave $40M+ to Win for America, a PAC passing money to affiliated super PACs in state races.
Source: rg.org (summarizing Sportico) →Friday, October 16, 2026Outside spending
New super PAC spends $209K backing Shannon Taylor in Virginia's 1st
The Public Trust PAC (C00960021), a super PAC registered in August 2026, reported $208,888 in independent expenditures supporting Democrat Shannon Taylor in VA-1 (disseminated Oct 13, via Democratic digital vendor Technicolor Political), per FEC filings. Its October Quarterly discloses a single $300,000 donor: Civitech PBC of Austin, Texas, a progressive voter-data firm whose CEO Jeremy Smith raised $10M+ led by Higher Ground Labs (the Obama-veterans progressive tech fund). Treasurer Brannon Jordan Lazo (Premier Compliance).
Source: FEC →Friday, October 16, 2026Outside spending
New hybrid PAC spends $182K supporting El-Sayed in Michigan Senate race; funders hidden
Serious About Safety PAC (C00960500), a hybrid PAC registered September 2026, reported $181,500 in independent expenditures supporting Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in MI-Sen (disseminated Oct 13, via Democratic media firm Conexion Political), per FEC filings — pro-El-Sayed spending in the race where AIPAC's UDP spent $20.3M opposing him. Its October Monthly lists zero itemized receipts, so the funders are undisclosed until the November Monthly (due ~Nov 20). Treasurer John Roberson (Acuity Politics compliance). Added to PoliVion's donor watchlist.
Source: FEC →Friday, October 16, 2026Party committees
GOP triage: CLF pulls $3M from Cuellar race, shifts to TX-15 and TX-34
The Congressional Leadership Fund is giving up $3 million in ad time it had reserved in TX-28 (Henry Cuellar vs Tano Tijerina) and shifting it to defend Monica De La Cruz (TX-15) and challenge Vicente Gonzalez (TX-34), per the Daily Letter (Oct 16). A significant late allocation shift in South Texas.
Source: The Daily Letter →Friday, October 16, 2026Party committees
Elon Musk gave $158M to groups supporting Paxton in close TX Senate race
FEC filings show Elon Musk gave the Senate Leadership Fund $75M on Sept. 9 and $83M on Sept. 23 ($158M total); SLF transferred identical amounts to Texas PAC, the pro-Paxton super PAC, the day after each gift. Musk also gave $10M to Lone Star Liberty PAC for Paxton after an SLF request, per USA Today.
Source: USA Today →Friday, October 16, 2026Election news
Talarico raises record $64M in Texas Senate race against Paxton
Democrat James Talarico raised $64 million in Q3 2026, the largest single-quarter haul by any Senate candidate in history, vs. $18M for Republican Ken Paxton. His campaign says 97% of donations were $100 or less, with 1.3M+ individual donors; total TX-Sen spending is now near $500M, per the El Paso Times.
Source: El Paso Times →Friday, October 16, 2026Party committees
Musk powers Republican PACs to $367M fundraising haul
The Senate Leadership Fund reported $273M raised in Q3 (including Musk's $158M plus seven-figure gifts from Schwarzman, Ricketts, and Wynn); its House counterpart, the Congressional Leadership Fund, raised a record $94.4M, with CLF and sister group American Action Network at $370M for the cycle — vastly outpacing Democratic counterparts, per Bloomberg Government.
Source: Bloomberg Government →Friday, October 16, 2026Election news
Midterm ad spending climbed over $10 billion this week
Total midterm ad spending passed $10 billion this week as outside groups flood competitive races with cash, per NPR's Domenico Montanaro. The piece examines whether the unprecedented spending levels can actually sway outcomes with 18 days to go.
Source: NPR →Friday, October 16, 2026Election news
Turek raises 4X more than Hinson; Iowa Senate race spending to top $150M
Democrat Josh Turek raised $13.9M in Q3 vs. $3.3M for GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson, bringing his cycle total to $20.2M vs. her $13.5M. AdImpact projects total spending in the Iowa Senate race will exceed $150M by Election Day, with the Senate Leadership Fund adding $20M to its Iowa buys, per the Des Moines Register.
Source: Des Moines Register →Friday, October 16, 2026AIPAC / UDP
Israel, via Parscale's Clock Tower X, reserves $32K in Des Moines broadcast airtime ahead of Election Day
AdImpact Politics reports the State of Israel, through Brad Parscale's Clock Tower X LLC, is reserving broadcast airtime in the Des Moines market — $32,000 placed so far, with spots set to run in the days before the November 3 election. It escalates the same operation's Iowa push from mailers (Des Moines Register, Oct 14) to broadcast. Clock Tower X registered as a foreign agent (FARA #7649) in September 2025; filings put its Israel contract at $4.5M/month from April through October 2026. Iowa law bars foreign nationals from spending that advocates for or against candidates; the mailers named no candidates, and no ad content for the broadcast buy has been reported. The Register names IA-Sen (Hinson vs Turek) and IA-3 (Nunn vs Trone Garriott) as the watched races in range of the market. Separately — a different operation, not linked to Clock Tower X in any reporting — Citizen Lab reported Oct 15 that Israeli ad-tech firm Discover-Tech sold programmatic ads that delivered zero-click spyware (technique dubbed 'AdFection') through its 'Controlium' platform: merely rendering the ad could infect the device, no click needed. At least 45 Al Jazeera devices were infected in 2024–25 with Candiru spyware via these ads; Google and Comcast's Beeswax have since removed Discover-Tech from their platforms.
Source: AdImpact Politics via @TrackAIPAC; Des Moines Register; Citizen Lab →Friday, October 16, 2026Outside spending
TFM's seed money was Republican: Great Lakes Conservatives Fund gave $50K to the $4.38M anti-El-Sayed super PAC
TFM — Together for Michigan (FEC #C00960138), the super PAC behind $4.38M in Michigan Senate independent expenditures ($3.26M opposing Abdul El-Sayed, $1.12M backing Mike Rogers) — filed its first donor report Oct 15: $84,065 raised through Sept 30. The seed money is Republican: $50,000 from GLCF, Inc., the Great Lakes Conservatives Fund (a GOP super PAC that raised $22.6M in 2024 and spent $10.7M backing Rogers), plus $25,000 from American Unity PAC of Virginia, with the rest from individual donors in Memphis and Michigan. The PAC's treasurer is Democratic state representative Karen Whitsett. Note: the $84K is seed money only — funding for the October $4.38M blitz lands in the pre-general report due Oct 22.
Source: FEC filings →Friday, October 16, 2026Outside spending
One man bankrolled the anti-Johnson super PAC: founder John Ratcliff gave all $577K to A Real Bottom Line
A Real Bottom Line (FEC #C00958124), the super PAC behind ~$288,000 in independent expenditures opposing House Speaker Mike Johnson in LA-4, filed its first donor report Oct 15: $577,000 in total receipts — every dollar from a single donor, founder John Ratcliff of Shreveport, Louisiana (retired), across ten contributions from August 3 to September 9. A one-man operation.
Source: FEC filings →Thursday, October 15, 2026Outside spending
New Democratic-aligned hybrid PAC drops $168K in Indiana's 5th: mail and digital against Spartz, for Ford
Hoosier State Values PAC (FEC #C00962779), registered October 1, 2026, disclosed $168,369 in independent expenditures in IN-5: $139,184 in digital ads opposing Republican Victoria Spartz and $29,184 in direct mail supporting Democrat J.D. Ford, all through DC mail vendor Pinwheel Productions. Treasurer Andrew Madras is a Democratic compliance professional (Rising Blue Consulting; previously American Bridge 21st Century), and the committee appears in ActBlue's independent-expenditure directory. No donors have been disclosed yet; the first donor list is expected with the 12-day pre-general report due October 22.
Source: FEC filings →Thursday, October 15, 2026Outside spending
New Shreveport super PAC spends ~$288K against Speaker Mike Johnson in Louisiana's jungle primary
A Real Bottom Line PAC (FEC #C00958124), registered in August 2026, disclosed about $288,000 in independent expenditures opposing House Speaker Mike Johnson in LA-4: $150,000 in connected-TV/digital ads (Powers Interactive), plus billboards, phone banking and texts. Founder John Ratcliff of Shreveport told commentator Robert Mann the faith-based effort aims to hold Johnson under 50% in Louisiana's November 3 jungle primary to force a runoff. No donors have been disclosed yet; the October Quarterly report was due October 15 and had not been filed as of this evening.
Source: FEC filings; Robert Mann →Thursday, October 15, 2026Outside spending
SpaceX's corporate PAC gave $75K to the super PAC behind a $215K pro-Wittman media buy in VA-1
Commonwealth Action PAC (FEC #C00928150), the super PAC behind a $215,385 media buy supporting Rep. Rob Wittman and opposing Shannon Taylor in VA-1 (Ascent Media, disseminated Oct 12), disclosed its donors: SpaceX's corporate PAC gave $75,000 in March, and DLA Piper partner Thomas Gaynor gave $25,000 in September. Correction: an earlier $430,770 figure double-counted a dual-purpose ad reported on two Schedule E lines; the true outlay is $215,385. The committee's treasurer is Republican compliance professional Frank Burford (Crosby Ottenhoff Group). Who funded the October buy should appear on the 12-day pre-general report due October 22.
Source: FEC filings →Wednesday, October 14, 2026AIPAC / UDP
Pro-Israel mailers from Parscale-linked Clock Tower X land in Iowa ahead of hot Senate and House races
Des Moines Register staff received printed mailers from Clock Tower X LLC — the DOJ-registered foreign-agent firm of former Trump campaign manager Brad Parscale — touting U.S.-Israel ties and Israeli trade benefits for Iowa. The mailers name no candidates, but the Register notes their distribution lines up with the hotly contested Iowa Senate race (Hinson vs. Turek) and IA-03 (Nunn vs. Trone Garriott). Filings show Clock Tower X has run $31.5 million in digital ads for Israel from April through October.
Source: Des Moines Register →Wednesday, October 14, 2026Party committees
Congressional Leadership Fund pulls $3 million from TX-28, ceding Cuellar–Tijerina race
The Congressional Leadership Fund pulled $3 million in ad reservations from Texas's 28th District this week, pulling back its effort to unseat 11-term Rep. Henry Cuellar even though the seat was redrawn to favor Republicans, per AdImpact. CLF had already spent over $4.5 million in the race; the money shifts to defending Rep. Monica De La Cruz in TX-15 and boosting Eric Flores against Vicente Gonzalez in TX-34. The withdrawal marks a new write-off of a seat Republicans had touted as a top pickup.
Source: Washington Examiner →Wednesday, October 14, 2026Outside spending
New pop-up super PAC drops $348K backing Ager in NC-11 and James in IA-2; donors now disclosed
Fight for Working People (FEC #C00960245), registered as a super PAC on August 28, 2026, reported $348,238 in independent expenditures: $280,000 supporting Democrat Jamie Ager in NC-11 and $68,238 supporting Democrat Lindsay James in IA-2, all disclosed via 48-hour FEC reports from Sept 18 to Oct 13. Treasurer is Oregon Democratic compliance professional Jef Green (C&E Systems); the media vendors are Progressive Lens Media and The New Media Firm. No donor report has been filed yet — as a quarterly filer, its first donor list is due October 15. UPDATE Oct 15: its October Quarterly filing (received Oct 14) discloses $350,000 in itemized donations: Bigger Tent Initiative $100,000; BDA PAC $100,000; WelcomePAC $25,000; Kevin Litwack (Seattle) $50,000; Tom Miller (Seattle) $40,000; Grace Nordhoff (Seattle, retired) $25,000; Brian Jacobson (Seattle, Valve Corporation programmer) $10,000. The filing also shows a $50,000 contribution routed to Millions of Michiganians (Lansing, MI). Three of the seven donors are organizations, seeding most of the money.
Source: FEC filings →Wednesday, October 14, 2026Outside spending
GOP-network super PAC spends $290K in Maine's 2nd: $190K against Dunlap, $100K for LePage
Poverty to Prosperity (FEC #C00902577), registered as a super PAC in April 2025, spent $190,000 on media opposing Democrat Matthew Dunlap and $100,000 on live calls supporting Republican Paul LePage in Maine's 2nd District (amendment-deduped FEC figures, data through Oct 14). Treasurer Thomas Datwyler runs 9SevenFEC, a Republican campaign-compliance shop; vendors include Spotlight Media Group (founded by former NRCC communications director Michael McAdams) and Alamo Intelligence (a Senate Leadership Fund vendor). Donors disclosed in the October quarterly: Gary and Sandra Bahre (Oxford, ME), Joseph Doyle (Ponte Vedra, FL), and George Palermo (Blue Hill, ME) — no public political profiles found. See the full picture in the Spoiler Playbook.
Source: FEC filings →Wednesday, October 14, 2026Election news
Epstein-linked donors gave $50,000 to Ashley Moody's Senate campaign after her probe found no wrongdoing
As Florida attorney general, Ashley Moody investigated the work-release program that let Jeffrey Epstein leave jail up to 16 hours a day; after nearly two years, her office concluded no misconduct — despite abuse later substantiated by DOJ-released FBI interviews. Drop Site News reports five individuals with documented Epstein-file connections have since given about $50,000 to her Senate victory fund: ex-Clinton staffer Douglas Band ($14,000), Blackstone CEO Stephen Schwarzman ($12,000), John Catsimatidis ($10,000), Apollo CEO Marc Rowan ($7,000), and Ronald Lauder ($7,000). The 'links' range from post-jailing relationships to address-book appearances, and the article alleges no quid pro quo. Moody faces Democrat Angie Nixon in a race now polling within about 2 points.
Source: Drop Site News →Tuesday, October 13, 2026Party committees
Senate Leadership Fund adds another $8 million for Ricketts in Nebraska, bringing its total to $15 million
The Senate Leadership Fund plans to spend another $8 million through Election Day to help Sen. Pete Ricketts (R), who faces an unexpectedly strong challenge from independent Dan Osborn. That brings SLF's total planned spending in the race to $15 million — $7 million already spent through the previously undisclosed Cornhusker Majority PAC. The move signals how worried Republicans are about holding a once-safe seat with three weeks to go.
Source: Wall Street Journal →Tuesday, October 13, 2026Party committees
Congressional Leadership Fund pulls $10 million from four House races, cutting off Miller-Meeks and Kean
The Congressional Leadership Fund, the GOP's top House super PAC, confirmed Oct. 13 it is pulling about $10 million in ad reservations from four districts: it is ending advertising support for Reps. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (IA-1) and Tom Kean Jr. (NJ-7), and abandoning efforts to unseat Reps. Greg Landsman (OH-1) and Kristen McDonald Rivet (MI-8). A spokesperson said Iowa money will be reallocated to the more competitive IA-2 and IA-3. It is the first time a major national Republican group has abandoned a GOP incumbent this cycle; Trump-aligned super PACs are also diverting money from the Kean and Miller-Meeks races.
Source: Des Moines Register →Tuesday, October 13, 2026Outside spending
MAGA-linked PAC spends $397K on mailers promoting socialist spoiler Greg Levy over Sherrod Brown
AP reports that Enough Promises Ohio, a super PAC created Sept. 29 with ties to Trump's MAGA Inc. orbit, paid mail vendor Seven Farms more than $397,000 for mailers promoting independent socialist candidate Greg Levy over Democrat Sherrod Brown in the Ohio Senate race. Levy condemned the mailers as impersonation and is considering legal action. The case extends PoliVion's /spoiler-playbook/ Enough Promises Ohio entry.
Source: Associated Press (via Columbus Dispatch) →Tuesday, October 13, 2026Outside spending
New super PAC 'TFM' spends $4.38M in Michigan Senate race: $3.26M attacking El-Sayed, $1.12M backing Rogers
FEC filings show TFM — Together for Michigan (committee C00960138), registered as a super PAC on Aug. 27, 2026 — has reported $4,376,550 in independent expenditures: $3,255,020 opposing Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and $1,121,530 supporting Republican Mike Rogers, via 48-hour reports filed Oct. 10-11 (FEC bulk data, Oct. 13). The treasurer is Karen Whitsett, the Democratic Michigan state representative from Detroit who stopped attending House Democratic caucus meetings in Jan. 2025. TFM's FEC compliance email is @demsforrogers.com, tying it to the 'Democrats for Mike Rogers' crossover operation (and its @DemsForMike account) that Whitsett publicly fronts. Donors are not yet disclosed; the committee's first quarterly donor report is due Oct. 15. Flagged by Track AIPAC. Added as Case 4 in PoliVion's /spoiler-playbook/.
Source: FEC filings (independent-expenditure bulk data, Oct. 13, 2026); Track AIPAC →Tuesday, October 13, 2026Outside spending
Trump-aligned PAC pulls $954,000 in Las Vegas ads for O'Donnell in NV-03
The Trump-aligned Safety and Affordability PAC cancelled $953,995 in TV ads for Republican Marty O'Donnell set to run October 14–20 in the Las Vegas market, cutting its scheduled spending for that week to zero, per an ad-tracking alert. The group had reserved $3.2 million for October and November last month; whether the remaining ads still run is unknown. The pull follows Cook Political Report's October 9 move of the race to Likely Democrat for Rep. Susie Lee.
Source: Nevada News and Views →Tuesday, October 13, 2026Party committees
GOP triage: Congressional Leadership Fund abandons four House races, redirects into 16 others
The Congressional Leadership Fund, the leading House Republican super PAC, canceled ad spending in four races (Iowa's 1st, New Jersey's 7th, Ohio's 1st and Michigan's 8th) and increased investment in 16 other races from Texas to Pennsylvania. The money being pulled, $13.3 million per the AP's tally, was redirected to defend incumbents including Brian Fitzpatrick, Monica De La Cruz, Rob Wittman and Bill Huizenga, and from Iowa's 1st into the 2nd and 3rd districts. It is the first time this cycle a major national GOP group has abandoned a Republican incumbent. The AP also reported a Trump-allied super PAC cutting back in the Las Vegas-area race (NV-03) and a DCCC $17 million fundraising drive to exploit the openings.
Source: Associated Press →Tuesday, October 13, 2026Party committees
DCCC lays down $13M in coordinated ads across 39 House districts — its largest reach this cycle
House Democrats' campaign arm launched $13 million in coordinated ad buys across 39 districts this week — the DCCC's largest reach of investments this cycle — going on air for the first time in four more Trump-won districts. The move came as Republicans defend a slew of redder seats in the final stretch.
Source: Political Wire (reporting Politico) →Monday, October 12, 2026AIPAC / UDP
AIPAC's super PAC attacks El-Sayed in Michigan's general election with $95,000 mailer buy; Rogers welcomes the help
The United Democracy Project, AIPAC's super PAC, disclosed about $95,000 in direct-mail spending opposing Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed in the general election, its first general-election spending of 2026. The mailers target roughly 130,000 Jewish voters in Michigan. Republican nominee Mike Rogers publicly welcomed AIPAC's support during the Oct. 8 debate, a reversal after his allies had reportedly asked the group to stay out of the race in August.
Source: Washington Examiner →Monday, October 12, 2026AIPAC / UDP
Democratic pollsters and consultants collected $7M+ from AIPAC's super PAC and DMFI since 2021
At least 20 Democrat-aligned firms have worked for the United Democracy Project or Democratic Majority for Israel since 2021, including Impact Research, Global Strategy Group, and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, collecting more than $7 million. The reporting lands as UDP resumes general-election spending against Michigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed and has signaled it plans to spend much more to defeat him.
Source: Sludge →Monday, October 12, 2026Party committees
GOP triage: Senate Leadership Fund pulls out of North Carolina, pours $10M+ into Kansas and $5M into South Carolina
With three weeks to Election Day, the Senate Leadership Fund has suspended its North Carolina ad reservations and redirected at least $10 million into Kansas, where Roger Marshall faces an unexpectedly competitive challenge, plus $5 million to boost Darline Graham in South Carolina. The group has spent more than $100 million in Texas backing Ken Paxton, while the pro-Trump MAGA Inc. super PAC fuels a major GOP cash advantage and American Bridge has put $20M+ into South Carolina, Kansas, Florida, and Mississippi for Democrats.
Source: CNN →Monday, October 12, 2026AIPAC / UDP
AIPAC's super PAC re-enters Michigan Senate race with $95,000 mailer buy against El-Sayed
The United Democracy Project, AIPAC's super PAC, disclosed nearly $95,000 in direct-mail ads opposing Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate general election, targeting 130,000 Jewish voters in Michigan over his response to a March attack on Temple Israel in West Bloomfield. The move comes after UDP spent more than $30 million against El-Sayed in the Democratic primary and lost. Republican Mike Rogers has publicly welcomed the help, while El-Sayed is using the spending to argue that outside money is trying to buy the race.
Source: Washington Examiner →Sunday, October 11, 2026Outside spending
Pop-up super PAC spends $181,380 on mailers backing socialist independent Greg Levy in Ohio Senate race
A newly formed super PAC called Enough Promises Ohio (FEC #C00962563) reported $181,380 in independent expenditures on printing and postage supporting Gregory Levy, the independent socialist candidate in Ohio's U.S. Senate special election. Levy is on the November ballot against Republican Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown. FEC records show the PAC was created on September 29, 2026 — less than two weeks before its first spending report — and lists Johnmark Roller of Reynoldsburg, Ohio as treasurer. Its donors have not been disclosed yet. Election watchers flagged the spending as a possible GOP spoiler effort to siphon votes from Brown in the tight race. The tactic fits a documented pattern: Reuters reported September 18 that 'pop-up' pro-Trump PACs (Ohio Flyer PAC, Buckeyes PAC) spent over $3 million on anti-Brown ads while delaying donor disclosure until mid-October.
Source: FEC committee filings (Enough Promises Ohio, C00962563); Reuters →Saturday, October 10, 2026AIPAC / UDP
RJC Victory Fund launches $2M ad campaign in Michigan Senate race targeting Jewish Democrats against Abdul El-Sayed
The Republican Jewish Coalition Victory Fund launched a $2 million advertising campaign in Michigan's Senate race on October 7, aimed at swaying Jewish voters against Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed. The campaign features two new ads with self-described lifelong Jewish Democrats saying they won't vote for El-Sayed over his response to the March terror attack at Temple Israel in West Bloomfield, plus mail, grassroots, and GOTV operations.
Source: USA Today →Saturday, October 10, 2026AIPAC / UDP
Mike Rogers now says he welcomes AIPAC support in Michigan Senate race after allies previously told the group to butt out
Republican Senate nominee Mike Rogers said during the Oct. 8 debate that he welcomes AIPAC's public support, reversing his allies' August position, when they asked AIPAC not to advertise on his behalf (an Axios-reported request that led AIPAC to shelve an already-cut anti-El-Sayed video ad). The piece also confirms via FEC filings that United Democracy Project has not spent money in support of Rogers' campaign so far — meaning no new UDP general-election spending beyond the already-recorded $95,000 Oct 9 mailers opposing El-Sayed.
Source: Daily Caller →Saturday, October 10, 2026Outside spending
Senate Majority PAC reserves $5 million in Kansas Senate race
The top super PAC for Senate Democrats is reserving $5 million in TV and digital ads in Kansas' newly competitive Senate race, spending through Election Day to narrow the Republican-Democratic spending gap in the state. The move signals Democrats see a serious chance of winning a state they last won in 1932, with pastor Adam Hamilton challenging Republican incumbent Roger Marshall.
Source: Political Wire (via New York Times) →Saturday, October 10, 2026Party committees
DCCC issues urgent $17 million fundraising plea with October 22 deadline
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee sent donors a memo, obtained by Politico, begging for $17 million by October 22 to compete in Trump-won districts including FL-27, NV-02, SC-01, and NY-21. Executive director Julie Merz warned Democrats could 'leave winnable races on the table' without the cash, while acknowledging the Republican ecosystem's 'massive war chest' — the RNC alone has over $125 million cash on hand now being spent in coordination with candidates.
Source: Political Wire (via Politico) →Saturday, October 10, 2026Outside spending
Congressional Leadership Fund files $32.8 million in new House spending across 31 races
The GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund disclosed $32.8 million in new independent expenditures in an FEC 24-hour filing dated October 10, spanning 31 House races — the largest single tranche going to FL-25 ($3.05M), followed by NJ-07 ($2.10M), MI-07 ($2.03M), MI-10 ($1.81M), and NY-17 ($1.69M). The filing shows CLF simultaneously defending vulnerable incumbents (MI-07, NY-17, CA-22, PA-07, CO-08) and targeting Democratic incumbents in Trump country (FL-25, FL-14, TX-34, TX-28, OH-09, NC-01).
Source: James Kay Online (via Rob Pyers FEC filing post) →Saturday, October 10, 2026Outside spending
House Majority PAC set to be largest final-stretch advertiser at $171 million as Democrats debate map expansion
House Majority PAC is the largest advertiser from Oct 10 through Election Day at $171 million in AdImpact reservations, versus about $108 million for the GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund. HMP has put money behind 28 of the DCCC's 46 'Red to Blue' targets with at least 15 more reservations planned, while pulling money out of races in Nebraska, California and Michigan where Democrats feel confident — with outside groups filling in 8 high-profile races so HMP can redeploy into more competitive, red-leaning areas.
Source: CNN →Friday, October 9, 2026Party committees
Senate GOP super PAC adds $30M more for Paxton in Texas, closing in on $200M
Texas PAC, the Senate Leadership Fund-backed super PAC, is placing another $30 million in TV reservations for Ken Paxton, bringing its Texas TV spending to about $155 million and total spending to nearly $200 million, per Punchbowl News. The added spending comes as polls show Paxton trailing Democrat James Talarico in a race the Cook Political Report rates a toss-up.
Source: Daily Caller (via Punchbowl News) →Friday, October 9, 2026AIPAC / UDP
AIPAC's super PAC resumes spending in Michigan Senate race with $95,000 in mailers opposing El-Sayed
United Democracy Project, AIPAC's super PAC, has resumed spending in Michigan's Senate race — its first general-election spending of 2026 — filing a $95,000 direct-mail buy opposing Democrat Abdul El-Sayed, targeted at 130,000 Jewish voters. The mailers invoke a March attack on a Michigan synagogue the FBI called a ‘Hezbollah-inspired act of terrorism.’ At Thursday's debate, Republican Mike Rogers said he would welcome AIPAC's involvement in the race.
Source: Fresh Blog News →Friday, October 9, 2026AIPAC / UDP
Mike Rogers says he welcomes AIPAC support in Michigan Senate debate after allies told the group to stay out
At the Oct. 8 debate, Republican Senate nominee Mike Rogers said he welcomed AIPAC's support after his allies had reportedly asked the group not to advertise for him in August, following Abdul El-Sayed's primary win over AIPAC-backed Haley Stevens. Reporting also notes AIPAC shelved an already-produced video ad targeting El-Sayed after Rogers met with AIPAC's chair. UDP spent $30.6 million in the primary opposing El-Sayed and backing Stevens, per FEC filings.
Source: Daily Caller →Friday, October 9, 2026Election news
Cook Political Report moves 18 House races toward Democrats; sees most likely outcome as a 9-to-19-seat Democratic gain
Cook's House editor moved 18 race ratings toward Democrats on Oct. 9: nine Republican incumbents (Miller-Meeks and Nunn in Iowa; Mackenzie, Perry, and Fitzpatrick in Pennsylvania; Huizenga in Michigan; Wittman in Virginia; Hill in Arkansas; Spartz in Indiana), five Democratic incumbents (Lee in Nevada; Suozzi and Gillen in New York; Gluesenkamp Perez in Washington; Davis in North Carolina), and four open seats (NE-02, IA-02, KY-06, ME-02). Cook now says Democrats need only 20 percent of the Toss Ups to reach a House majority.
Source: Newsmax (Cook Political Report ratings) →Friday, October 9, 2026Party committees
Senate GOP super PAC adds $30 million for Paxton in Texas Senate race
Texas PAC, the Senate Republican leadership-backed super PAC supporting Ken Paxton, placed another $30 million in TV reservations in Texas, pushing its television spending there to about $155 million and overall outlays toward $200 million. The rescue mission comes as Democrat James Talarico leads most public polls and the Cook Political Report rates the race a toss-up. Texas has not sent a Democrat to the Senate since 1993.
Source: Political Wire (citing Punchbowl News) →Thursday, October 8, 2026Party committees
GOP plans $5M for Darline Graham in SC while Senate Leadership Fund pulls North Carolina
Republicans plan to spend $5 million in South Carolina to help GOP nominee Darline Graham — the sister of late Sen. Lindsey Graham — in the final stretch, while the Senate Republicans' top super PAC has pulled its North Carolina spending, per AdImpact, a sign Cooper's lead over Whatley is seen as insurmountable. Outside Republican groups have poured $122 million into the Texas Senate race (Paxton vs. Talarico). AdImpact has $513 million in future Senate-battleground reservations overall, with Republicans holding 61%.
Source: USA Today →Wednesday, October 7, 2026Outside spending
Trump-linked super PAC spends $8M to oust Tom Suozzi in NY-03
No Going Back, the Trump-linked super PAC sharing a treasurer with MAGA Inc., has spent about $8 million on ads and mail attacking Rep. Tom Suozzi (D) in New York's 3rd District, backing Republican Mike LiPetri. Roughly $19 million is expected to pour into the race overall, with Trump-aligned groups at $11 million by Oct 3. The same PAC is also spending to help Jeanine Driscoll unseat Rep. Laura Gillen in NY-04 and to protect Rep. Mike Lawler in NY-17.
Source: Courier New York →Wednesday, October 7, 2026Outside spending
Pritzker-funded PAC launches ad against Rep. French Hill in AR-02
The Ready for the Fight PAC, funded by Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker, launched its first ad attacking Rep. French Hill (R) in Arkansas's 2nd District, whose opponent is Democrat Chris Jones. The seat was added to the DCCC's Red to Blue program the day before. Hill called the effort a "desperate" attempt to "buy the seat" but acknowledged the political environment is "quite bad" for Republicans; GOP allies still lead spending in the race per AdImpact.
Source: Bloomberg Government →Tuesday, October 6, 2026Party committees
Both parties pull ad money from House races they no longer see as winnable
Congressional Leadership Fund (GOP) and House Majority PAC (Democrats) have both slashed late ad reservations in a handful of House races, per AdImpact. Republicans pulled $1.1M+ from NE-02, ~$200K from NJ-09, $1.4M+ from NY-19 and ~$100K from NY-03 — moving the NY-03 money to NJ-07. Democrats pulled $200K+ from CA-48 and nearly $200K from MI-08, signaling confidence in races they believe are safe. The pattern is classic late-cycle triage: each side ceding seats it no longer thinks are in play.
Source: Washington Examiner →Monday, October 5, 2026Party committees
Senate Leadership Fund shifts money to Kansas: $14M for Marshall, $62M more across five states
The top GOP Senate super PAC paused planned North Carolina ad spending and redirected it to defend Sen. Roger Marshall in Kansas, planning $14 million there. It also added $8M in Maine, $4M in Alaska, $2M in Michigan, $20M in Iowa, and $14M in Ohio — $62 million in new reservations in recent days.
Source: Newsmax (reporting Punchbowl News) →Monday, October 5, 2026Outside spending
Another $1 billion in congressional ad reservations still to air; Ohio leads Senate states
AdImpact reports $1.08 billion in future ad reservations across congressional races. Among Senate contests, Ohio has $137.5 million reserved, followed by North Carolina ($66.6M), Michigan ($60.9M), Iowa ($59.1M), and Maine ($57.1M). September congressional ad spending topped $1 billion — nearly double August.
Source: AdImpact (via Inside Radio) →Monday, October 5, 2026Party committees
Senate Leadership Fund pauses North Carolina Senate ads, redirects millions to Kansas
The Senate Leadership Fund, the top Republican Senate super PAC, paused its ad campaign in North Carolina's Senate race, where GOP nominee Michael Whatley trails Democrat Roy Cooper, and redirected roughly $8-10 million in ad reservations to Kansas to defend Sen. Roger Marshall. The shift, reported by the Associated Press, CBS and NBC, reflects an increasingly defensive GOP Senate strategy. North Carolina remains CNN's top-ranked seat most likely to flip.
Source: CNN →Saturday, October 3, 2026AIPAC / UDP
Sanders says AIPAC plans $233 million to defeat candidates critical of Netanyahu
Sen. Bernie Sanders said on X that AIPAC plans to spend $233 million in the midterms against candidates who speak out against Netanyahu's government. He also renewed his call to end U.S. military aid to Israel ahead of the November 3 election. Note: PoliVion's own documented totals are lower ($78.3M in AIPAC-linked direct contributions plus $53.5M in UDP outside spending, through mid-August) — Sanders may have information not yet reflected in public filings, so our figures may be behind his.
Source: The Cradle →Monday, September 28, 2026Outside spending
Texas Senate race could draw $200 million in outside spending
The Senate Leadership Fund has already reserved $125 million in advertising in the Texas Senate race, with another $20 million from Trump's MAGA Inc super PAC. A person familiar with internal discussions said the full total could easily reach $200 million.
Source: HuffPost (via DSCC) →Friday, September 4, 2026Party committees
DCCC begins coordinated TV spending: $338,000 in three House races
The DCCC's first coordinated TV buys of the general election totaled $338,000: $248,000 defending Rep. Vicente Gonzalez in TX-34, $57,000 for Rep. Shomari Figures in AL-2, and $33,000 for Christina Hines in MI-10. The committee said it had invested early in digital and mail before going up on TV in the final two months.
Source: Washington Examiner →Thursday, September 3, 2026Party committees
NRCC reserves $8.7 million in coordinated TV ads across 20+ House races
After the Supreme Court struck down limits on coordinated spending between party committees and candidates, the NRCC reserved nearly $8.7 million in coordinated ad buys across more than 20 competitive House races in 17 states. The DCCC had made no coordinated general-election buys at that point.
Source: Washington Examiner →Monday, August 3, 2026AIPAC / UDP
AIPAC tops $100 million in 2026 election spending for the second cycle in a row
A review of FEC records found AIPAC's PAC and its super PAC, the United Democracy Project, combined for more than $104 million in 2026-cycle political spending. UDP had another $80 million on hand at the end of June, so the total is likely to grow before Election Day.
Source: Sludge →
No election news for this state yet.